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Here’s how Sri Lanka can dramatically pip Australia to make WTC 2025 Final

The improbable path to Lord's for cricket in Sri Lanka.

Senior Writer by Senior Writer
January 6, 2025
in Australia, Border-Gavaskar Trophy, Cricket, Cricket news, Featured, News, sports, Test, World Test Championship
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Here's how Sri Lanka can dramatically pip Australia to make WTC 2025 Final

After losing to Australia in the fifth Test of the Border-Gavaskar Trophy (BGT 2024-25), India’s dreams of reaching the World Test Championship 2025 (WTC) final were dashed. Australia joined them by winning the BGT by a score of 3-1, while South Africa was the first team to advance to the WTC 2025 finals after defeating Pakistan in the first Test.

Prior to the Sydney fifth Test, India had a remote possibility of making it to the WTC final.

They had to win the Test match in the New Year and hope that either Australia and Sri Lanka would have a series without any results or that Sri Lanka would win the series easily. At Lord’s, Australia and South Africa will undoubtedly compete for the coveted title, but there is hope for Sri Lanka.

They could reach WTC if the combinations and permutations work out, which would be nothing short of a miracle. In the points table, Australia has a 63.73 percent point percentage. Sri Lanka, Pakistan, or the West Indies cannot pass the Australians and eliminate them from the championship game. India already has a points percentage of 50, so even if Sri Lanka wins 2-0, their points % will still be 57.02, and Sri Lanka’s points would rise to 53.85, which would still put Australia ahead.

If Australia receives a points punishment for continuing to play at a slow over rate in the forthcoming series, Sri Lanka may hope for a miracle. If Sri Lanka wins the series 2-0, they might defeat Australia and go to the WTC 2025 finals in June with a total of eight points from two Test matches. The Australians’ main concerns are either being obliged to field for longer periods of time and adhere to the slow over rate, or bowling long stretches of spin on the winding Sri Lankan pitches.

World Test Championship 2023-25 Points Table:
Position Team Matches Won Lost Drawn Points PCT (%)
1 SOUTH AFRICA (Q) 11 7 3 1 88 66.67
2 AUSTRALIA (Q)* 17 11 4 2 130 63.73
3 INDIA 19 9 8 2 114 50.00
4 NEW ZEALAND 14 7 7 0 81 48.21
5 SRI LANKA 11 5 6 0 60 45.45
6 ENGLAND 22 11 10 1 114 43.18
7 BANGLADESH 12 4 8 0 45 31.25
8 PAKISTAN 11 4 7 0 40 30.30
9 WEST INDIES 11 2 7 2 32 24.24
Tags: AustraliaAustralia vs India 2024-25Sri lanka
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